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Colloquially known as “the Shakey Isles,” New Zealand gets about 14,000 to 15,000 earthquakes a year, but the majority are too mild for most people to feel.
October has been an unsettling month, with four moderate or strong quakes felt—two on one day (Oct. 6).
Twelve of the last 18 quakes have been centred on the lower part of the North Island or upper part of the South Island, making Wellingtonians particularly nervous.
The topography of Wellington has been affected by major earthquakes in the past, with much of its current harbour and foreshore having been lifted out of the sea by a shake in 1855 which also caused horizontal movement of 12 metres.
So sure are Wellingtonians that another major quake is on the way that it even has a name: “The big one.”
According to the Greater Wellington Regional Council, “A large, shallow quake along the Wellington Fault, say magnitude 7.4, would cause strong shaking and considerable damage around the region.
“If it happened during the day, there could be about 500 deaths, 4,000 injuries and perhaps 1,800 people trapped. If the quake hit at night, fewer people would be hurt.
“We could expect about 2,800 homes and other buildings to be destroyed and another 100,000 buildings to be damaged in some way,” the Council says.